NFL Picks Week 17: Four Favorites That Should Beware of Dog
Written by Matthew Regaw
Wed, 28 Dec 2011
Category sportsbook
Feedback Rating - no votes
The NFL week 17 schedule is ripe with underdogs that are ready to bite the favorites and end the regular season on a winning note. Last week I correctly picked 3 out of 4 underdogs against the spread and now have an 8-3-1 record in my last three weeks.
With another inviting list of underdogs, here are four favorites that should beware of dog in week 17 of the NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles head into the last week against the Washington Redskins in what amounts to a meaningless game. To say that this has been a disappointing season for the Eagles is an understatement. A team once predicted to win the Super bowl is now limping to the end of the regular season.
The Eagles' best player, LeSean McCoy could likely miss this game, and quarterback Michael Vick is always one hit away from leaving the game.
The Redskins have been out of playoff contention for a while now, but they still play tough in every game they play. The Redskins are 6-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last seven games against an NFC opponent, and they are getting too many points in this game.
Washington Redskins (+9)
Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens are headed to the playoffs, but they now control the destiny of their AFC North rivals, the Cincinnati Bengals.
If the Bengals win this game they are in the playoffs and they have begged the fans to show up for this huge game. The Bengals strength is stopping the running game and that is big as the Ravens live-and-die by the play of running back Ray Rice.
The Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog and the Ravens are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
The Bengals come to play and make it to the playoffs.
Cincinnati Bengals (+2)
Denver Broncos
The Buffalo Bills exposed the Broncos last week and put forth a game plan that Romeo Crennel can use this week when the Kansas City Chiefs head to Denver. Crennel has announced that although the Chiefs are not going to the playoffs they will be playing everyone and going all out to win this game.
Crennell is playing for a chance at keeping his job, but Kyle Orton needs no motivation to win this game. Orton was waived by the Broncos in favor of Tim Tebow, and a win here would justify the veteran quarterback.
The Broncos are 16-36-3 ATS in their last 55 games as a home favorite and 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 home games.
The Chiefs upset the Broncos in the season finale.
Kansas City Chiefs (+3)
New York Giants
The New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys meet up in the biggest game of the week in the NFL. The winner will claim the NFC East title and get a ticket to the NFL postseason.
The Giants have already beat Dallas once, coming from behind in dramatic fashion on the road. Now the Cowboys hope to get revenge in this vital game.
Both teams come into this game banged up, but the most notable injury is to Dallas quarterback Tony Romo. After smashing his hand on a helmet in the game against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Cowboys sat out Romo for the remainder of the game.
X-rays were negative and all indications point towards Romo starting this game and that is very good news for the Cowboys. The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog and the Giants are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite.
The underdog is a perfect 5-0 against the number in the last five meetings and the Cowboys beat the Giants in week 17.
Dallas Cowboys (+3)