NFL Week 12 Picks against the spread: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
Written by Matthew Regaw
Wed, 23 Nov 2011
Category sportsbook
Feedback Rating - no votes
The NFL week 12 schedule is highlighted with great Thanksgiving games and it would not be Thanksgiving without a game in Detroit. This game becomes even more special with the undefeated Green Bay Packers coming to town.
Lions vs. Packers
The NFL week 12 odds opened with the Packers as a 6.5 point favorites. The Packers are undefeated and very popular so it's no surprise that 72% of the betting public is backing chalk. The line has dropped to six, however, at several online sportsbooks. This is an indication of smart money coming in on the Lions. It should be noted that there are a few seven point spreads out there, so shopping for lines is very important for this game.
Aaron Rodgers leads the best team in football into Motown and rumblings of an undefeated season are already swirling in Wisconsin. The closer they get to the end of the season, the louder those rumors will get.
The Detroit Lions started off fast, but hit a stumbling block in mid-season. After a big win over the Panthers, the Lions may be poised once again to make a move in the NFC. Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson are at the heart of a formidable offense that may be the only other team in the NFL team that could keep pace with the Packers.
The NFL betting trends show reason to wager on the home team. The Lions are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a win, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 against the NFC, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
The Lions have struggled in the latest Thanksgiving football games and really want to win this one for the home team. The Packers defense showed some holes on the run defense last week against Tampa Bay and a resurgent Kevin Smith will open up the ground game and allow the passing to thrive. There is only one way to go in this game and that is to take the points.
Thanksgiving Football: Detroit Lions +7