WEEK 7 KEY NFL TRENDS - 'Go Short'
Written by The Director
Thu, 18 Oct 2007
Category sportsbook
Feedback Rating - no votes
AT FIRST GLANCE...there are games that always look 'Tasty' ATS in many publication as a 'Bullet' trend only to 'trap' upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real 'ADVANTAGE' against the 'Trend'. Week 7, The Director is suggesting you 'Go Short':
10.17 Looking into Week 7 aka Lucky Week 7, the 'Short' trend defined by 'analysis of as little as two to three games over the last five years' over the long history is where it is at. As the twelfth man and home field advantage falls by the wayside with the injury to with the injury to Warner, Tim Rattay, who fumbled and bumbled in his opening appearance against the Panthers, hits the road versus the WASHINGTON REDSKINS, who are 1-0 ATS under Gibbs in their matchups with the Arizona Cardinals. 2-0 ATS over the last five years, the Redskins, who just came up short last week with the Packers, clearly have the advantage.
With Boller filling in for McNair and Edwards in for Losman, two streaking defenses face off in Buffalo where the Baltimore Ravens look to play their ADVANTAGE, 1-0 ATS versus Jauron in 2006, and 2-0 ATS over the last three years; looking to continue their domination entering as over 7+ Favorites in those matchups they are allowing just 6.5 points per game over a BUFFALO BILLS squad that is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five games off the bye.
Having picked up its season on Monday Night with the healthy return of Ward and Jacobs, the NY 'Football' GIANTS look to play the ADVANTAGE of the Big Apple versus a Niners team, outscored by an average 25 points per game in going 0-3 ATS after their bye week in their last three seasons, that is 0-1 ATS versus Coughlin and 0-3 ATS over the last five years, including the dramatic 2002 playoff battle.
10.17 Taking advantage of the Bengals, Huard and Johnson, who found his legs with 119 rushing yards, the Kansas City Chiefs, who since losing to Callahan 24-0 in 2002 in the black hole, have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four matchups in Oakland. Favored by as many as 9 points, the Chiefs have outscored the OAKLAND RAIDERS by an average of 8+ points. With the Raiders managing only 14 points versus the Chargers, the Raiders ability to manage only 16 points per game versus the Chiefs in those matchups does not bode well for McCown and Culpepper.
ADVANTAGE CHIEFS
10.18 With injuries in Houston, and Collins having to step in for Young in Tennessee, the Tennessee Titans head to Houston where they are 3-1 ATS in the last four matchups. Although Fisher had gone 1-2 ATS in their first three visits to Houston with the HOUSTON TEXANS, the Titans have taken the last two there outscoring the Texans by an average of 10 points per game; with the Titans pounding out an average of 30 points per game in those matchups, the pressure will be on Houston defense that has allowed an average of 28 points on over 350 yards per game.
ADVANTAGE TITANS
Coming off Peterson's franchise record 224 rushing yards, the real question of the week: 'Did the Minnesota Vikings trap some of their lightning in a bottle to turn their 2004 opening day upset versus the DALLAS COWBOYS into a Short trend?'
The Director
5-1-1 ATS On Monday Night
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