Week 9 Key NFL Trends From NFLOne.com: Our Blog Is Live
Written by The Director
Sat, 1 Nov 2008
Category sportsbook
Feedback Rating - no votes
AT FIRST GLANCE…there are games that always look ‘Tasty’ ATS in many publications as a ‘Bullet’ trend only to ‘trap’ upon further review. In 2006, The Director looked for the first time to clear the way for you to understand which team has the real ‘ADVANTAGE’ against the ‘Trend’.
As we head into this week, the playoffs are now only steps away. While many are rematches, many will bring history to light. The Atlanta Falcons, who have upset the scales with the 3rd ranked rushing attack, head to Oakland where they have not played since 2004. The flying fish head to Denver where they have not won since 2005 to stop one of the NFL's top air attacks; Cam Cameron losing at Home by 18 points last year to the DENVER BRONCOS. However, the game that will draw the public is the Packers visit to the TENNESSEE TITANS, who have not faced off with Jeff Fisher's Titans since 2004. Green Bay entering 1-3-1 ATS in its last five games versus the AFC South after a major punishing of the Colts before the bye week. If you weren't confused enough by these matchups, Houston, who seem to go Over the Total each week face off with the MINNESOTA VIKINGS, who were on a 4-0 run ATS before facing off with the Titans in Week 4.
DON'T BELIEVE THE HYPE
There are few safe havens this week that are shiny, as the matchup in Chicago where the BEARS, projected to win by this week's largest margin of 12 points, will try to avoid looking ahead to next week's matchup with the Titans, and instead try to sweep the Lions who are 2-2 ATS versus Lovie Smith at Soldier Field over the last four years.
The last week to catch the killer bye trends, the BALTIMORE RAVENS, who clobbered the Browns in Week 3, look to do what they have not done since 2003; try to sweep the Browns, who had taken 5 of the previous game ATS in the series. The game projected to be the lowest Total of the week. Having not won ATS in Cleveland since 2005, the Ravens have lost by over 14 points in two of the 4 losses here.
FIRST LOOK
Given the economy, it is not surprising that the best look on the card is the Colts visit to New England where even in their best of times, the Pats have gone 4-0 ATS (including the playoffs) in their last four matchups with the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS. Having won SU last year, the Patriots, who have not been Underdogs since 2005 when their 3 game winning streak ATS had been broken. Of course, this is a very different Colts team that is now sporting the 32nd rate rushing attack in the NFL.
ADVANTAGE COLTS
I know what you are thinking when I even mention the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS; especially when McNabb is projected to have the biggest day with 282 passing yards. However, the numbers are the numbers, and the Seahawks are 2-0 ATS over the last three years with the Eagles, including a 42-0 walloping back in 2005. With doctors failing to clear Hasselbeck, Wallace has a big mountain to climb in this one.
ADVANTAGE SEAHAWKS
KEY TRENDS
With the ST. LOUIS RAMS making as miraculous a comeback as the Cardinals' Boldin, the Cardinals step in going 5-1 Over the Total in the last three years.
ADVANTAGE OVER
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